Outdoor fires
Variable Importance
- The most important factor for predicting the category of Very Low to Very High risk is the Crime Score.
- Three LSOAs (highlighted opposite) were removed from the risk assessment as they were outliers in terms of the number of incidents during the sample.
Outliers
- These three LSOAs were removed from the risk assessment as they were outliers in terms of a significantly greater number of incidents during the sample compared to other LSOAs.
Top 10 risk factors
| Short name | Relative importance | Relationship | Origin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crime score | 100.00% | Positive | IMD |
| Health deprivation & disability score | 86.36% | Positive | IMD |
| No qualifications | 83.12% | Positive | Census |
| All bad health | 76.35% | Positive | Census |
| Street length km | 70.18% | Positive | HERE |
| Occupation 2 professional occupations | 70.13% | Negative | NOMIS |
| Education skills and training score | 66.63% | Positive | IMD |
| Number of households with no adults in employment | 66.03% | Positive | Census |
| Area sq km | 65.78% | Positive | ONS |
| Population per sq km | 65.11% | Negative | Census |
Predicted Risk Cluster
- Using the top ranked risk variables, the model predicts the risk level in each LSOA.
- This map summarises the output in terms of whether each LSOA is most likely to be Very Low to Very High risk.
- Most of the highest risk LSOAs are in urban areas.