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RTCs

Variable Importance

  • As with vehicle fires, the most important factor for predicting the category of Very Low to Very High risk for RTCs is the Total Street Length (km).
  • Other geographical and population variables are of importance.
  • The assessment of RTCs was based on the LSOA in which the RTC occurred.
  • Stats19 data for the home locations of persons involved in RTCs was not available for Nottinghamshire; this would be a potential improvement to the assessment of RTC risk.

Top 10 risk factors

Short name Relative importance Relationship Origin
StreetsLength Km 100.00% Positive HERE
MajHwyLength Km 96.67% Positive HERE
Area sqKm 79.22% Positive ONS
Population Per SqKm 65.94% Negative Census
Primary Route Length Km 42.45% Positive Census
Full time employees 2019 38.30% Positive Census
A Country Living 36.83% Positive Mosaic
Mosaic Money Affluence 33.83% Positive Mosaic
Geographical Barriers Sub-domain Score 31.88% Positive IMD
All categories Long term health problem or disability 31.19% Positive Census

Predicted Risk Cluster

Predicted risk cluster map of Nottinghamshire showing road traffic collisions.
  • Using the top ranked risk variables, the model predicts the risk level in each LSOA.
  • This map summarises the output in terms of whether each LSOA is most likely to be Very Low to Very High risk.
  • Most of the highest risk LSOAs are in rural areas.