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Other residential fires

Variable Importance

  • The most important factor for predicting the category of Very Low to Very High risk is the People & Family Household composition Family Plus other adults from Mosaic data.
  • Factors associated with Health deprivation are also highly ranked factors.
  • The model’s predicted risk levels are less confident for other residential fires compared to dwelling fires.

Top 10 risk factors

Short name Relative importance Relationship Origin
People & Family Household composition Family Plus other adults 100.00% Positive Mosaic
Health Deprivation & Disability Score 85.82% Positive IMD
Frailty Group3 83.88% Positive Exeter
% Population 16+ highest qualification Level3 83.74% Positive Census
Households Council Tax Band A 81.45% Positive Valuation Office
All Bad health 80.89% Positive Census
BH AbsHMax group 30to60 78.61% Positive Gazetteer
Number of Flats 77.81% Positive Census
Occupation 9 Elementary occupations 72.86% Positive NOMIS
Full time employees 2019 72.09% Positive Census

Predicted Risk Cluster

Predicted risk cluster map of Nottinghamshire showing other residential fires
  • Using the top ranked risk variables, the model predicts the risk level in each LSOA.
  • This map summarises the output in terms of whether each LSOA is most likely to be Very Low to Very High risk.
  • Most of the highest risk LSOAs are in urban areas.